Uh-oh, bad news for McCain. A Zogby poll found that Obama is beating McCain in his home state of Arizona, by 3% (42%-39%). We've seen in past elections, like the in 2004 with Edwards, that it is particularly embarrassing when a vice presidential candidate can't carry his or her home state, but the presidential candidate is something else entirely. Talk about embarrassing.
Now there is some (McCain's people, image that) who question the validity of the poll, which was conducted online, even though the Zogby people maintain it was a scientific survey. The only problem with the McCain camp's claims is that other recent polls have shown Obama dangerously close to McCain in Arizona, and Obama is also doing very well in other states in the Southwest. There really isn't much reason to believe this poll is wrong. Even McCain's fellow Republican officials in Arizona dislike him, why is it surprising that the people of Arizona don't like him all that much either?
Anyway, bad news for McCain, good news for Obama. It ought to make McCain sweat a bit more, maybe he'll have to run around reminding people he was a POW once, or at the very least he might have to spend a bit of cash to make sure he doesn't lose his home state, which would be an embarrassment that would last long after the election.
Friday, July 11, 2008
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