Friday, May 9, 2008

Hillary's Lead In Ohio Cut To Single Digits

The official results from Ohio were just released, and as is usually the case Obama got more votes that originally reported by the media (and as is always the case the media will never mention the change). Originally it was thought that Hillary won by 10.4%, but after they counted provisional ballots her lead dropped to only 8.8%, the difference? Her proclaimed double-digit lead versus a single digit lead, in a state that was made for her. Just like Texas which she actually lost, yet it was reported that she won. Just like Pennsylvania which it was reported that she won by 10%, when she actually won by single digits. The numbers aren't all that different, but the perceptions are important, especially for the media spin.

Going forward what does this mean? It means that in the total popular vote Obama has gained 26,022. Will these get included in the "official" numbers? Doubtful. Will these be included in Hillary's measures of the popular vote? Hell no. It raises a question though, in so many races Obama has gained after ALL the voters were finally counted, and this was a significant amount in many places, like New York and California. But were the updated numbers added to the "official" popular vote totals used by the mainstream media? Who knows, but I really doubt it, that is a little too "nuanced" for the media.

Update (5/12): My prediction was confirmed, this morning the Today Show made a passing mention of Hillary's "10% win in Ohio". But hey, I guess it isn't the job of the media to keep their facts straight.

Update (5/13): Obama gained two pledged delegates from all this.

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